Will it or won't it?

Cimaron, a late typhoon, has been edging closer to Hong Kong over the last few days; we've had signal number 1 in force for quite a while now. At first they predicted it would turn away and hurry westward to terrorize Vietnam well before it got near us, but it ignored the predictions and pushed on steadily straight for us. Last night it just stopped and now seems to be kicking its heels in the South China Sea wondering what to do next.
This is an image from the Hong Kong observatory web site (Hong Kong is the red star) - they still seem mighty confident that it will suddenly up and bolt west...but anything could happen.